The Inevitable War with Iran

Dr. Avi Perry, Op-Ed Published: Sunday, February 05, 2012 – The loud rhetoric from all sides on Iran has been underlined by considerable measures on the ground, and all that is needed is an Iranian mistake.

The incoming elections in the US and the flashy rhetoric by Republican presidential candidates have brought the question of a nuclear Iran onto the front page. The Muslim Gulf states and Israel have added to the rumbling; they have sustained their pressure on the US administration, urging it to act, to stop Iran’s quest for nuclear weapons.


The Obama Administration has warned Iran: “pursuit of nuclear weapons is unacceptable; the US would use all means in its disposal, including force if necessary, to neutralize Iran’s pursuit of nuclear weapons.” But to no avail.

Iran keeps its macho talk loud and condescending. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has just issued a warning—Iran will not cave in to pressure; progress toward a nuclear bomb (he did not say “nuclear bomb”, but he definitely implied it) will not be brought to an end, no matter what sanctions the Americans or the EU impose on the Islamic Republic.

The Ayatollah is serious. Although macho talk in the Islamic Middle East is a standard adopted by all militant Islamic leaders, the Iranian government is flexing its muscles, flaunting its sharp teeth. It believes that economic sanctions will hurt, but not as much as caving in to American demands. In a culture where false honor precedes anything that moves under the sun, where life without “honor” is far worse than death, where honor killing is a religious diktat, caving in to economic sanctions is equivalent to an unconditional surrender.

And surrendering to the “Great Satan” merely because life is a little tough is inexcusable, dishonorable behavior; it is treason that merits the death sentence.

The loud rhetoric from all sides has been underlined by considerable measures on the ground. The US has been and is about to keep on amassing a war machine in the Persian Gulf and on several islands within reach of Iran. American, British and French warships and aircraft have been acting around the Persian Gulf and around Saudi air bases, respectively, while the Saudis have reinforced their anti-missile defense gear and their delivery facilities around Saudi oil fields and along the Persian Gulf,respectively.

Israel has been readying itself for war on all fronts. It has recently conducted large-scale military exercises, both defensive and offensive in nature, including the drafting of reservists under projected heavy missile bombardment of every town, road and base, as well as a large scale parachuting by over a thousand paratroopers, signaling a willingness to engage ground-troops on foreign soil in addition to relying on its air force and its rockets.

Iran has not been sitting idle either. They have announced the start of a three-week exercise in southern Iran and the Strait of Hormuz under war settings. They seem to be bracing for a fitting retaliation, with the objective of blocking the flow of oil out of the Gulf.

In addition, they have been concocting terror attacks on soft Jewish – and possibly other – civilian targets throughout the world.

The American Administration is working hard at softening its seeming aim by masking its military buildup with wishful talking points. US Defense Secretary Panetta’s recent implications concerning Israel’s imminent attack plans are part of a grand-scale deception strategy. They have been designed to refocus the Iranians on the most suspicious front,rather than the one that would deliver the ultimate blow—the US military.

It is obvious that if Israel embarks on a preemptive strike on the Iranian nuclear project, Iran will try to retaliate. Retaliation will not be limited to hitting Israel. The Revolutionary Guards will attempt to attack American interests throughout the Middle East, providing a pretext for an American involvement in a large scale “defensive” war against Iran—a war that would be supported by the American public due to its defensive nature, a war that would boost Obama’s standing in the eyes of the American people, shortly ahead of the elections.

The scenario above may not necessitate an Israeli opening (of hostilities), since the Iranian regime is stuck in a macho syndrome, which blinds their rational reasoning. They will miscalculate. They may initiate hostilities against US interests in the Persian Gulf in order to lay bare the risk associated with any American attempt to force them into submission by aggressive economic means. They do not believe that the US would retaliate by initiating an all-out-war in response. They view the US and President Obama as paper tigers.

The Ayatollah will then be repeating the same mistake that Hizbullah committed in 2006 when they kidnapped dead Israeli soldiers and Israel responded with an all-out-war they had not anticipated and had not wished.

There is little doubt that a war with Iran can be avoided. There is high likelihood that the US will lead the effort even if Israel initiates the campaign.

There is little doubt that the US is hard at work preparing for war in the Persian Gulf.

There is high likelihood that Iran will provide the American people with a sizzling justification by provoking the US, inviting a massive retaliation.

There is no doubt. 2012 will see a new Gulf war. This time, the Ayatollah will be the one to pay the price.


Dr. Avi Perry (Fried), a talk show host at Paltalk News Network (PNN), is the author of “Fundamentals of Voice Quality Engineering in Wireless Networks,” and more recently, “72 Virgins,” a thriller about the covert war on Islamic terror. He was a VP at NMS Communications, a Bell Laboratories – distinguished staff member and manager, as well as a delegate of the US and Lucent Technologies to the ITU—the UN International Standards body in Geneva, a professor at Northwestern Universit and Intelligence expert for the Israeli Government. He may be reached through his web site

One response

  1. Dr. Avi Perry gives credence to the acronym of “PhD” standing for “Piled High and Deep”.

    I may be wrong…but, “Avi” sounds Jewish…although “Perry” isn’t a Jewish surname. Possibly, his mother was Jewish while his father was a “Goy”…or non-Jew. That may explain his enthusiastic cheerleading for another war of aggression by the U.S. and/or Israel.

    PhD Perry sounds so hopeful as he fantasizes, “…all that is needed is an Iranian mistake.” As a recent author surmised, this mentality is reminiscent of an old Western movie – you can almost hear PhD Perry taunting Iran, “Pick up the gun…go ahead…you can do it”, as he anxiously waits to cut the technologically-inferior Iranians down in their tracks.

    War with Iran may be “inevitable”, but it won’t be because the Iranians made a mistake. It will be like every war in which the United States has been involved since (and including) the Spanish-American War…it will involve a false flag attack.

    This deceptive attack will be against American or Israeli interests or military forces by western intelligence or Israeli Mossad assets…made to look like the Iranians did it, of course…to gain the naive public support of the majority brain-dead, testosterone-pumped, Amerikan flag-wavers to allow the Neo-Cons to once again unleash the dogs of war…this time on Iran or Syria…or both.

    Although terms like “macho talk” appeal to the knuckledraggers as Senator Blutarsky famously calls them, PhD Perry has it backwards…it’s the U.S. that is talking smack in someone else’s backyard.

    If the situation was reversed…i.e., Iran’s pilotless drone got shot down over Texas…the Iranians had an aircraft carrier with escort ships bristling with missiles in the Gulf of Mexico…not to mention a couple more aircraft carrier battle groups on the East and West coasts…thousands of Iranian troops were massing south of our border…explosions were going off at our domestic military bases…ours domestic scientists were being assassinated by Iranian intelligence assets…Congress would have already declared war and would be threatening the impeachment of Obama if he didn’t wipe Iran off the face of the map tomorrow morning.

    How many more wars will America fight for Israel, a nation that sends spies to this country to steal our secrets? Do you remember “Jonathan Pollard”? He’s only the tip of the iceberg.

    The Israeli military intentionally attacked the USS Liberty in 1967 and killed dozens of American sailors in a brazen attempt to involve the United States in the 1967 war with the Arabs. No repercussions whatsoever.

    The “Dancing Israelis”, Israeli Mossad agents, just happened to be on the New Jersey side of the harbor with New York City on 9-11-01 to film the attack on the World Trade Centers prior to their arrest by New Jersey police. They later went on a talk show in Israel and stated that their purpose that day was to film the attacks. How convenient.

    How many more of our boys will we sacrifice on the altar of war so that good, young Jewish boys can remain safely at home with their mothers?

    How many more wars will we allow the criminals in D.C. to start to divert the attention of the Amerikan people away from the crumbling economy and the dying U.S. dollar?

    War with Iran may be inevitable…but, it will be because nationalistic, globe-trotting Amerikans believe that their lives are inherently more valuable than others in the world merely because of the blind luck of being born on this piece of dirt called “America”…and it is their birthright to go to foreign lands and take what they want by force and tell others how to live their lives.

    They don’t hate us because “we’re free”…they hate us because we’re percieved as arrogant, murderous bastards that don’t know how to mind our own business.

    That will offend the flag-waving Nationalists out there…but, don’t forget the million dead Muslims killed in the bogus War on Terror for the last 10 years. That’s the equivalent of over 300 9-11’s. Kinda makes “an eye for an eye” look appealing to the Muslims, no?

    And we wonder why the Iranians would want to build nukes?

    “Blowback” is a mo-fo.

    What would Jesus do?

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